Modeling Radar Probability of Detection for a Randomly-Located Mover on an Arbitrary Road Network


The complexity of contemporary defense systems needs a holistic approach to modeling system performance. Reductionist strategies fail to capture emergent behaviors and alternative advanced behaviors characteristic of these systems. For sensor systems that embrace ground moving target indicator (GMTI) radar sensors, having a model for likelihood of detection is helpful for simulating, analyzing, and evaluating system performance. To this finish, this paper presents mathematical modeling of detection performance of a GMTI ground radar sensor system. Specifically, we outline a detection scenario in that one ground mover inside the radar scan sector is randomly distributed on a road network in step with traffic loading constraints. We have a tendency to perform mathematical modeling to generate a general truth expression for probability of ground mover detection over general road networks. We have a tendency to present special cases in that closed-kind expressions for the chance of detection exist. We have a tendency to generate empirical detection results using Monte Carlo simulation with a GMTI radar simulation to validate the mathematical modeling.

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